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Macquarie: Raise the forecast of USD/JPY to 140 JPY by the end of 2025 from 125 JPY.The Singapore Straits Times Index was basically flat at 3,795.86.Yardeni, Wall Street Strategist: The Federal Reserve should keep interest rates unchanged at its December meeting. Yardeni Research believes that at the upcoming FOMC meeting, US policymakers should keep interest rates unchanged and assess the economic situation. "Policy committees should take time to see how the economy will evolve in the coming months after Trump wins the election," strategists such as Ed Yardeni said in the report. Jerome Powell, chairman of the Federal Reserve, asserted at the last meeting that policymakers "can't (or won't) model the new government's fiscal policy before it is implemented". Although the impact of tariffs and tax cuts is still uncertain, the basic view is that inflation is still too high, real GDP growth is strong, and the labor market is close to full employment, which is likely to contradict the relaxation of monetary policy.

Pacific Securities: The historical low of the valuation office of liquor industry is about to be repaired. The Pacific Securities Research Report pointed out that the liquor industry is rationally slowing down, and the valuation office is at a historical low, and it is about to be repaired. Next year, the leading growth target will generally drop to single digits. However, the accumulated inventory risk and pricing pressure still need time to gradually ease after the imbalance between supply and demand has intensified in the past two years and the previous industry bubble has receded. With the economic recovery stimulated by this round of policies and the stabilization of the bottom of the real estate industry, the liquor industry is expected to usher in a wave of recovery. Since 2023, industry differentiation has intensified, but with the improvement of management level and refined channel operation in recent years, excellent wine enterprises have stronger marketing foundation and anti-risk ability compared with previous downward cycles. The price of high-end wine determines the brand position, so the approval price is more important, which depends on the choice of quantity and price and the control of approval price by wine enterprises. Sub-high-end needs to pay more attention to channel risks. The high growth brought by pre-distribution investment needs to be tested in the downward period, and once the channel collapses and stalls, it is difficult to reverse it. Real estate wine pays attention to the growth momentum of internal product structure and the market potential in and around the province. The upgrading speed determines the slope and the ceiling determines the space. Suggested attention: Wuliangye, LU ZHOU LAO JIAO CO.,LTD, Shuijingfang, etc.Samsung is betting that XR's first lightweight AR glasses will ship 50,000 units next year. Samsung is actively promoting the Extended Reality (XR) project called Infinite, which is scheduled to be publicly displayed at the Galaxy Unpacked conference in January next year, and will be officially released in the third quarter of 2025. Samsung Electronics has made a production plan for XR equipment, and it is expected to ship more than 20,000 to 30,000 units in the third and fourth quarters of next year respectively.Ping An Securities: In 2025, the A-share market will have more flexibility in the slow-release growth style of key pricing risks. Ping An Securities Research Report pointed out that in 2025, the A-share market will have more flexibility in the slow-release growth style of key pricing risks. Specifically, structural investment opportunities are increasing. 1) scientific and technological innovation, that is, technology industries that benefit from the support of domestic new quality productivity policies and can cope with overseas risks, including TMT and artificial intelligence; 2) Manufacturing growth, that is, advanced manufacturing sectors with global competitiveness and expected marginal improvement in industrial structure, including power equipment (photovoltaic, lithium battery, etc.), new energy vehicles, national defense and military industry, etc.; 3) domestic demand consumption, that is, the consumption sector that is expected to be repaired by fundamentals under the support of domestic demand policy, and pay attention to some real estate infrastructure chains that are reversed; 4) Commodity price increase, paying attention to ferrous metals that benefit from the stabilization of real estate, and other commodity price increase sectors with potential disturbances on the supply side.

The yield of major inter-bank interest rate bonds continued to decline, and the yield of 10-year treasury bonds "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 11" fell by 0.5bp and hit the 1.90% mark, hitting a record low.Samsung is betting that XR's first lightweight AR glasses will ship 50,000 units next year. Samsung is actively promoting the Extended Reality (XR) project called Infinite, which is scheduled to be publicly displayed at the Galaxy Unpacked conference in January next year, and will be officially released in the third quarter of 2025. Samsung Electronics has made a production plan for XR equipment, and it is expected to ship more than 20,000 to 30,000 units in the third and fourth quarters of next year respectively.CICC interprets the meeting of the Politburo in December: the fiscal policy next year is expected to be significantly higher than this year. CICC issued a document saying that the tone of the Politburo in September will be continued, and this Politburo meeting will further inject confidence into the market, and there will be many new formulations in policy. From the perspective of policy objectives, the demand for growth is more clear, and the expression of "property market and stock market" is also very clear. From the policy direction, expanding domestic demand ranks first, and the tendency to boost consumption and improve people's livelihood is further highlighted. From the policy tone, monetary and fiscal policies are more active, and "extraordinary countercyclical adjustment" is put forward for the first time. In terms of specific policy prospects, we believe that the following aspects are worthy of attention: the intensity of fiscal policy next year is expected to be significantly higher than this year; The loose space of monetary policy may be opened through comprehensive policies, and the structural monetary policy may be significantly overweight; Expand domestic demand in an all-round way, and incremental measures may focus more on consumption; Further promote reform and opening up. Generally speaking, the policy mix is in line with what we judge as "tight credit, loose money and wide finance" in the second half of the financial cycle.